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NFL
Thursday, November 19
7 Free Picks, all backed by In-Depth Analysis, plus more Rated Selections from the nation's premier sports analysts, are available daily at ATSedge.com
NFL
Miami (4-5 SU and ATS) at Carolina (4-5 SU and ATS)
Two teams looking to get back to .500 square off when the Dolphins travel to Bank of America Stadium for a non-conference clash with the Panthers.
8 Straight NFL Best Bet Winners for the red-hot Tony Weston, who cashed in with the Niners last Thursday, Patriots on Sunday and Ravens Monday night.
Tonight Tony has his 20 Dime NFL Winner # 4 in a Row on the Panthers-Dolphins, a play just as strong as his 20 Dime Winners on the Steelers and Ravens the past two Mondays and Niners last Thursday.
Added Bonus: He also has a 5 Dime play on the Miami/Carolina Over/Under. NFL Best Bet Winner # 8 in a Row among both winners at ATSedge.com
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Miami let a 19-6 halftime lead slip away Sunday against Tampa Bay, giving up a pair of fourth-quarter TDs to fall behind 23-22 before rallying for a 25-23 victory on a field goal in the waning seconds. The Dolphins failed to cash as a hefty 10-point home chalk, after covering in four of their previous five games (3-2 SU).
Miami racked up 199 rushing yards against the Bucs, with Ricky Williams (20 carries, 102 yards) and Ronnie Brown (12 carries, 82 yards, 1 TD) doing the bulk of the work. The Dolphins have the league's fourth-best rushing attack for the year (156.2 ypg), but Brown the catalyst for the Miami's "Wildcat" offense suffered an injured right foot in the win and has been ruled out for tonight.
Carolina dropped visiting Atlanta 28-19 Sunday as a one-point underdog to cover for the third straight week (2-1 SU), and it was also the first time in four tries this year that the Panthers cashed at home. QB Jake Delhomme was miserable in the first six games of the year, committing 15 turnovers (13 INTs, two fumbles), but over the past three weeks, he's got three TD passes and no INTs.
Perhaps no coincidence, Delhomme has gotten a lot of help lately from RB DeAngelo Williams, who has 640 rushing yards and five TDs over the past five weeks, including three games of 149 yards or more. In fact, the Panthers are one spot ahead of the Dolphins on the rushing list, averaging 156.6 ypg, and they had 185 in Sunday's win over the Falcons.
750 Dimes Profit since March for the red-hot Karl Garrett, who tonight he has his 30 Dime Winner # 7 in a Row in college on Colorado and Oklahoma State.
This play is just as strong as No. 6 in a Row on Rutgers in a blowout of South Florida last Thursday.
30 Dime Winner # 7 in a Row, his latest Trap Line Lock in college football, is available now plus a bonus NFL play on the Dolphins-Panthers at ATSedge.com
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These squads have met just three times in regular-season play since 1998, with Miami going 3-0 SU and ATS. Most recently, the Dolphins earned a 27-24 home win as a three-point pup in September 2005. In a preseason meeting this past August, Miami won 27-17 as a 2-point home chalk.
The Dolphins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 on the highway and 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a road pup, but they shoulder negative pointspread streaks of 7-19-1 against losing teams, 2-5 in November and 5-11-3 as an underdog of three points or less. The Panthers had failed to cash in four straight home games prior to the win over the Falcons and they're still just 2-5 ATS in their last seven as a home chalk. On the positive end, Carolina is on pointspread surges of 4-1 overall, 4-0 in November and 6-0-1 laying three points or less.
The over has hit in five of six overall for Miami and is on an 11-5 run for the Dolphins against losing teams. Conversely, coach Tony Sparano's troops are also on "under" stretches of 9-3 in November, 15-5 after a SU win, 4-1 on the highway and 6-1 as a road pup.
The over has been the play in five of Carolina's last six November outings, but otherwise the Panthers are on "under" rolls of 14-6 at home and 4-0 as a home favorite.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Al DeMarco, General Manager of ATS Edge.com, is a 25-year veteran of the handicapping industry who is also the featured handicapping analyst on Comcast Sports TV in New York and Chicago and a regular contributor on Fox Sports, MSNBC and The Sporting News. Read his Daily Blog for his gambling insight, tips and observations at ATSedge.com
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